The Delegate Fight: 2016

[Ljube]

What happens with Carson's delegates when he endorses TRUMP? Do they go to TRUMP?

[Ljube]

After the poor results tonight, TRUMP absolutely needs all 95 delegates from New York. He must win more than 50% of the vote there.

[Ljube]

Let us now try to estimate TRUMP's delegates in the remaining states.
Or is it too early for such an exercise?

[Ljube]

Good analysis. Are we sure Montana is Cruz country?

EDIT: TRUMP is going to have to make a play for NE, SD and MT. He needs every delegate he can get. SD and MT are late enough that he may win them solely on his message of party unity.

EDIT2: Unpledged delegates, as well as released delegates should be considered as possible TRUMP supporters.

[Ljube]

I can't speak for all members of Fairfield County (CT-4), but we're definitely the type that are receptive to Kasich.

Battleground Connecticut? You betcha!

[Ljube]

The way things look now, every delegate could be crucial.

[Ljube]

Sabato has 755 for Trump. What could be the difference?

[Ljube]

The more delegates Cruz steals, the more votes he loses.

[Ljube]

The more delegates Cruz steals, the more votes he loses.

Conventions are held to decide delegates, and Cruz's delegates received the most votes. How is that stealing?

The system is rigged. It should be votes that decide the delegates, not some conventions.

[Ljube]

Lynne Ryan, Ash Khare, C Arnold McClure, Vicki Lightcap, Sean Shute, Joseph Lamantia, Tina Pickett, Mario Scavello, Richard Morelli, James Vasilko, Gilbert Cox, Lauren Casper, Tom Ellis, Scott Uehlinger, and John Petrarca all said they would vote for the district winner yet are on Trump's slate. Interestingly enough, Trump actually picks district winners or uncommitted instead of his own supporters in CD 3 and twice in CD 10 and CD 12.

The will of the people trumps the selfish interests of any particular campaign. That's what Trump stands for. That's who he is endorsing.

[Ljube]

Updated projections (which could be too favorable to Kasich, we'll see) have Trump coming in at 1416 pledged delegates by the end of the night on June 7.

I think now's a good time to discuss the future of this thread.  I'm planning to maintain the spreadsheet until July, but my motivation for updating the main page of this thread is rapidly diminishing.

What would be most useful for you folks going forward?  Continuing to track the delegate counts for a race that's all but over, or freezing it as a snapshot before Cruz's suspension?

You want to freeze the moment in time? You want to live in the past? You really took Trump's victory hard.