538 Model Megathread

[Ljube]

Nate Silver predicts Trump will never win the Republican nomination!

[Ljube]

Are we really going to pretend that Johnson will get more than 2-3% of the vote at best for this entire cycle?

No, of course not. At least I won't.

[Ljube]

Clinton's now below 70 in polls-plus.  The surge is real!

Nate Silver doesn't have a clue. There is no path, let alone a single one that gives a 30% chance.

Come on now...

You need to get more realistic. A large portion of this country despises Trump. Minds are made up. GOP not winning PA, WI, (or NH! )

Wake up! According to the latest polls they are pretty much equally ~hated. Muahaha

Wake up, the vast majority of this country considers Clinton "qualified" and only about a third say that about Trump.

You don't have to be qualified to be a president. Reagan was not qualified.

A president can have a lot of advisers. What a president needs is good judgement and leadership. That's what Trump has and what Hillary lacks.

[Ljube]

he's not wrong. Reagan was hapless and completely unqualified for the job.

But the Reagan example proves why we shouldn't elect Trump - Reagan was a terrible President.

Reagan is the best president post-Eisenhower. Enough said.

Still, he wasn't qualified for the job. Neither was Obama. Didn't stop either.