Election Odds

[Rococo4]

I would say Bush is a slight favorite, but things really depend on how things go in Iraq.  The new Census reappointment of EVs may make the critical difference in the end.  It does look like the business cycle might be benefiting the Republicans for once this election

Bush 52.6% chance, Kerry 47.4% chance

[Rococo4]

Bush 52.6% chance, Kerry 47.4% chance

You have to allow at least .1% for 'other'.

No I dont......these are my odds right now and i dont think anyone except these 2 will win.  i am not a professional pollster or oddsmaker.  i dont think there is .1% chance Nader or someone else wil win

[Rococo4]

Bush 52.6% chance, Kerry 47.4% chance

You have to allow at least .1% for 'other'.

No I dont......these are my odds right now and i dont think anyone except these 2 will win.  i am not a professional pollster or oddsmaker.  i dont think there is .1% chance Nader or someone else wil win

What is Kerry gets shot and Gore becomes the nominee?  You have to account for things like that.

Fine.....though my odds were just based on those two

Revised Odds
Bush 52.6% chance of being reelected
Kerry 47.3% chance of winning
Other .1% chance