Democrats' Statehouse Picture Improving?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Interesting thread after a GOP primary in MI yield a powerhouse candidate with polls showing with double digit leads. GOP improvement

In PA, Tom Corbett still leads despite some misteps here and there. Same

Ohio, Despite all the gaffes by Kasich Rassy has him up by single digits and everyone else has narrow narrow Strickland lead, same

In Tennessee, Bill Haslam cruised to victory and will win by double digits.


In Florida, the GOP frontrunner has deep pockets, despite other problems. Combine that with the environement and Scott will win but narrowly. That will become clear post primary. This reminds me of ID 2006 in some ways.


Polling shows that SC is out of reach despite being open, same with Alabama.

Brownback and Fallin crusied to victory. Askins narrowly won (we have seen this before).


Texas, Perry still doing crappy, but ahead

California, Two Months ago, Moonbeam was ahead by 12 to 15. Now the lead is going back and forth. GOP improvement


MN, finally one with Dem improvement


MD. Last I check the polling is within the margin of error.


ME, LePage made some gaffes, so potentially Dem improvement.


HI - Aw still strong Dem Gain. no change

SD - Dems have no chance.


WY, wait for primary, probably with OK, KS, and TN


WI - Dems still down to Walker - The same


NV-  Brian Sandoval made a gaffe, lost 10 points, still 10 points ahead though.

OR - All tied up or close to it.

IA - Third party candidate enters, possibility of vote split. 

Susanna Martinez still doing well in New Mexico.

Arizona - No way Jose, not now.

Colorado - Fubar in action

What am I missing. No big frameshift. Just the slow evolving of each race. In a normal environment LePage, Kasich, and Scott would have no chance and Sandoval would be on life support by now. They aren't.

The GOP has 24 seats. A gain of 6 (= to 2006 Dem gain) is 30. Election Projections is at 32 though that will change. I expect between 28 and 33 Governorships.