20 (!) count'em 20 new state polls - Updated in polling section

[classical liberal]

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/IMAGES/POS_RNC_BG_June2004.pdf

Public Opinion Strategies is a DEEP blue GOP firm - To describe these guys as "partisan" just doesn't seem strong enough some how.

does their partisanship skew their numbers to the right by a point or 2?

[classical liberal]

There are alot of undecided in these polls.  I think that that's why NJ looks competitive, like 9% of voters are undecided though I think that they probably tend a bit towards Kerry.  I saw a piece about NJ citing the past 15 statewide elections that found that the undecideds broke heavily in all but 2.  I think that they'll break for Kerry as they did for Gore, but if they broke for Bush he'd win.

[classical liberal]

St. Charles County won't go +15 for Bush again.  As it grows it moves to the left since the bible-thumpers get replaced by yuppies, the kind who drink chai tea and take yoga classes.  As such I'm thinking that exurban counties will be around 7 points less Republican this time around.  So St Charles County will be like Bush 54 Kerry 45.