The Super Tuesday Results Thread

[cinyc]

From the Fairbanks Daily News Miner:


Among Interior Alaska voters who cast their ballots in North Pole, Paul was the preferred candidate. . . .

In Fairbanks, Ron Paul had 451 votes, Santorum took 243, Romney had 233 and Gingrich had 105. . . .

Complete results are expected to come in by 10 p.m.  [Already passed]

[cinyc]

85% of AK in:

R 4167 (33%)
S 3704 (29%)
P 3033 (24%)
G 1798 (14%)

Unless what's out is in the Mat-Su Valley or Kenai, Romney wins this.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Romney wins Alaska.

[cinyc]

Romney won OK-05, with Santorum placing second.  Santorum won the other 4 CDs.  Gingrich came in second in 3 of those 4 CDs.    Assuming the Green Papers is correct, the 15 Oklahoma CD-level delegates should be allocated Santorum 9, Romney 3, Gingrich 3.   The 25 At-Large delegates will likely be allocated Santorum 9, Romney 8, Gingrich 8 - though it depends on the rounding rules.   So Santorum 18, Romney 11, Gingrich 11 seems like the most likely Oklahoma outcome.

[cinyc]

The AP says 14-13-13 in Oklahoma, I wonder where their numbers are coming from.

It could be a different interpretation of the rules.  The Green Papers, says:

-If one candidate receives more than 50% of the vote or only one candidate receives 15% or more of the vote, that candidate receives 3 delegates.
-Otherwise, if more than 1 candidate receives 15% of the vote, the candidate receiving the most votes receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the second most votes receives 1 delegate.
-Otherwise, the top 3 vote-getters receiving 15% or more of the vote each receive 1 delegate.

It could mean that if 3 candidates get more than 15%, each get 1 CD-level delegate.  If that's the case, the 15 CD delegates are split 5 a piece, which would give us the AP's results.

[cinyc]

Don't know if this has already been addressed, but are precinct/LD/caucus site/whatever results available for Alaska?  Or is the only thing reported the statewide result?

The only thing I've seen reported is the overall tally and some anecdotal results from the Fairbanks newspaper.  The polling places were arranged by House District, but results were never released that way.  The Fairbanks Daily News-Miner says this about the Interior Alaska vote:

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[cinyc]

The AP says 14-13-13 in Oklahoma, I wonder where their numbers are coming from.

It could be a different interpretation of the rules.  The Green Papers, says:

-If one candidate receives more than 50% of the vote or only one candidate receives 15% or more of the vote, that candidate receives 3 delegates.
-Otherwise, if more than 1 candidate receives 15% of the vote, the candidate receiving the most votes receives 2 delegates and the candidate receiving the second most votes receives 1 delegate.
-Otherwise, the top 3 vote-getters receiving 15% or more of the vote each receive 1 delegate.

It could mean that if 3 candidates get more than 15%, each get 1 CD-level delegate.  If that's the case, the 15 CD delegates are split 5 a piece, which would give us the AP's results.

Well, under your interpretation, it is implied that only of the candidates tied in actual raw votes would the third paragraph come into play.

The APs interpretation is that if only two candidates get over 15% does the second paragraph apply, otherwise if three candidates get over 15%, the third paragraph applies.

Which do you think makes more sense?

The AP's interpretation makes more sense.  But I'd like to see the actual rules rather than rely on The Green Papers, which could be clearer.