RT Strategies (Various Congressional Districts)

[WMS]

Constituent Dynamics is with the DNC.

And Wilson is still leading Madrid in NM-1.

INTERNALS! FINALLY! W00T!

[WMS]

In the polling world, this invariably means that their numbers tend to lean Democratic in comparison to the whole.  I'm not saying this is by much, but in 2004, their numbers were, on the whole, about 1-2 points too Democratic. (in 2000, when Dem turnout numbers at the end shot up dramatically, they were much closer to even. I consider that luck) And because their polling method is fairly consistent, these findings are fairly consistent as well.  I'm trying to think of a race where R2000 overestimated on the Republican side and none comes to mind.  It's just that consistent.

So, Sam, does that mean you think Wilson is even further ahead in NM-1 then?

[WMS]

In the polling world, this invariably means that their numbers tend to lean Democratic in comparison to the whole.  I'm not saying this is by much, but in 2004, their numbers were, on the whole, about 1-2 points too Democratic. (in 2000, when Dem turnout numbers at the end shot up dramatically, they were much closer to even. I consider that luck) And because their polling method is fairly consistent, these findings are fairly consistent as well.  I'm trying to think of a race where R2000 overestimated on the Republican side and none comes to mind.  It's just that consistent.

So, Sam, does that mean you think Wilson is even further ahead in NM-1 then?

Well, their result matches ABQ polling, which about matches Madrid internal polling.  I know what the ABQ record was in 2004, so that makes me suspicious a bit, but I doubt we get any other polls out of this race to compare, so I gotta believe what I have. 

How's that for a non-answer.

Yes, there are no top-quality polls here, sad to say

That's a good non-answer. I would just like to remind everyone again that Wilson has led every poll for this race, even the Dem internal ones...that is not good news for Madrid...