nkpatel1279
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,714
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« on: April 14, 2012, 10:48:29 PM » |
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Obama-D wins all of the Dukakis states he carried last time including (IA-6,MN-10,and WI-10)=96ev
Obama-D wins all of the Gore/ Kerry states he carried by a double digit margin including (PA-20,NM-5,and MI-16)=253ev
Winning CO-9,NV-6,and NH-4 gives Obama-D 272ev.
Obama-D has a greater than 50-50 chance of winning VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29.
If Obama-D is having a great night on Election Day. He narrowly wins or loses NC-15 and MO-10.
2012 is going to be like 2000. The states Gore narrowly won in 2000 was IA-6,MN-10,NM-5,OR-7,and WI-10. Gore narrowly lost NH-4 which could have given him the 270plus ev.
The states Obama-D will win in 2012 by a very narrow margin is CO-9,IA-6,and NV-6. He wins MI-16,MN-10,NM-5,OR-7,PA-20,and WI-10 by a high single digit margin. (268ev) Obama-D will fight to win NH-4,OH-18,FL-29,and VA-13. Obama-D loses MO-10 and NC-15 by a narrow margin. Obama-D loses AZ-11,GA-16,and IN-11 by a high single digit margin.
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