Midnight towns (NH) **results thread** (user search)
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  Midnight towns (NH) **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: Midnight towns (NH) **results thread**  (Read 8166 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: November 07, 2016, 08:38:33 PM »
Unfortunately, the results from these towns have very little predictive power.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 11:40:04 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2016, 11:43:10 PM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: heatcharger on November 07, 2016, 11:29:27 PM
Anyone have the 2014 Senate and Gubernatorial numbers?

3 R / 2 D in Dixville Notch for both Gov and Senate

20 D / 5 R in Hart's Location for Senate, 18 D / 6 R for Gov

15 R / 5 D in Millsfield for both Gov and Senate
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2016, 11:51:18 PM »
Fully possible Clinton could be shut out in Dixville Notch. She should win Hart's Location, and Trump should win Millsfield.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 12:05:16 AM »
CNN says there should be at least two Clinton votes in Dixville
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2016, 12:07:37 AM »
Clinton 4 Trump 2 Johnson 1 Romney 1
Hassan 4 Ayotte 4
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 12:15:43 AM »
Millsfield:

16 Trump, 4 Clinton, 1 Sanders
16 Ayotte, 3 Hassan, 2 Day
18 Sununu, 3 Ostern
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 12:22:10 AM »

That's actually pretty good for Trump.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 12:22:59 AM »
Someone in Hart's Location voted for Kasich/Sanders lol
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2016, 12:25:59 AM »
Current totals for NH are

Trump 32 (48.5%)
Clinton 25 (37.9%)
Write-ins 5 (7.58%)
Johnson 4 (6.06%)
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2016, 12:28:14 AM »
Results from 2012 were Obama 50.8%, Romney 46.2% (D+4.6%).

That's a swing of R+15.2%
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2016, 12:30:13 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 08, 2016, 12:29:06 AM
Quote from: realisticidealist on November 08, 2016, 12:28:14 AM
Results from 2012 were Obama 50.8%, Romney 46.2% (D+4.6%).

That's a swing of R+15.2%

Did Millsfield vote at midnight last time?

I don't think so, but the results are almost identical from 2012 to 2016.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 12:32:06 AM »
Of course it's not predictive, but the fact that's there are so many Bernie write-ins is certainly notable to say the least.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 12:39:01 AM »
Curious... the televised town was the only one of the three to swing toward Clinton... Tongue
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 12:46:59 AM »
Both the Governor's race and Senate race have the same tally at the moment:

R 37 (54.4%)
D 28 (41.2%)
Oth 3 (4.4%)

Downballot is R+13.2, President is R+10.6
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 12:50:01 AM »
« Edited: November 08, 2016, 12:54:00 AM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 08, 2016, 12:48:40 AM
Quote from: realisticidealist on November 08, 2016, 12:46:59 AM
Both the Governor's race and Senate race have the same tally at the moment:

R 37 (54.4%)
D 28 (41.2%)
Oth 3 (4.4%)

Downballot is R+13.2, President is R+10.6

Isn't the Governor's race 37-26?

Sorry, looked at the wrong place.

Senate is 54.4 R - 41.2 D; Gov is 57.4 R - 38.2 D
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2016, 01:12:31 AM »
Quote from: mds32 on November 08, 2016, 01:07:51 AM
Quote from: MasterJedi on November 08, 2016, 12:25:44 AM
Quote from: Andrea Beaumont on November 08, 2016, 12:25:00 AM
Was 23-9 in favor of Obama last time. Horrific numbers for Clinton.

Concern trolling at its finest.

That's because Millsfield wasn't counted in those results in 2012. They were just added in 2016 I believe.

No, that's not how it works at all. 23-9 was Hart's Location's vote in 2012 which has nothing to do with Millsfield.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,819


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2016, 01:32:12 AM »
Quote from: Crumpets on November 08, 2016, 01:22:25 AM
Anybody want to make a township swing map?
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