RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread

[RI]

As I promised, here are the Atlas-colored maps:

2008


2012


2016


2012-16 Swing

[RI]

Looks like the interactive is back up again.

Also, it appears that some numbers from 2012 are wrong in the St. Louis area.

Looking at Olivette, Missouri, in particular, you have majority African-American precincts with at least a few hundred people in them going for Obama by upwards of 70% (some in the 80s) in 2008, then going for Romney by over 60% (some in the 70s) in 2012. I think there was some inputting error here.

Considering these areas then apparently had 60-70% swings back to Clinton in 2016, I'm willing to bet this is the case.

Something did seem a bit odd there. I'll look into it.

[RI]

Are you planning on finishing out your maps on https://rynerohla.com/index.html/election-maps/ at any point in the near or distant future? I really appreciate the higher level of detail on those static image maps compared to the national map (which while great, still leaves a bit of room for improvement for many urbanized areas).

Yeah, I'll get to it some time in the next week.

[RI]

I did another write-up, this time about precinct results and urbanization: https://decisiondeskhq.com/data-dives/what-do-dense-trump-areas-look-like-sparse-clinton-areas/

[RI]

Are you planning on finishing out your maps on https://rynerohla.com/index.html/election-maps/ at any point in the near or distant future? I really appreciate the higher level of detail on those static image maps compared to the national map (which while great, still leaves a bit of room for improvement for many urbanized areas).

Yeah, I'll get to it some time in the next week.

Bumping this request for when your have time.

Here's Missouri:

[RI]

And what were the largest counties without a single HRC precinct?

Surprisingly not Utah County, Utah, which had a single Clinton precinct. Otherwise, here are a sampling of the largest I could find:

St. Charles County, Missouri (pop. 360,485)
Jefferson County, Missouri (pop. 218,733)
Williamson County, Tennessee (pop. 202,686)
Clermont County, Ohio (pop. 197,363)
Butler County, Pennsylvania (pop. 183,862)
Livingston County, Michigan (pop. 180,967)
Hernando County, Florida (pop. 173,094)
Johnson County, Texas (pop. 150,934)
Citrus County, Florida (pop. 140,031)
Washington County, Wisconsin (pop. 131,887)
Parker County, Texas (pop. 116,927)

[RI]

The issue with Mission/Mission Hills in Johnson County, KS has been corrected.

[RI]

Precinct cartogram:


It's ugly-- so ugly that it's almost beautiful.

[RI]

Realisticidealist - just FYI, looking at Dane County WI on the DDHQ site map, there seems to be a problem calculating the swing in some precincts.

City of Madison 26 has Obama 80-20 and Clinton 71-22, but the swing given is D+30.
City of Madison 76 has Obama 91-8 and Clinton 86-9, but the swing given is D+35.

I don't know whether the issue is local or widespread; these two precincts just jumped out at me since they are areas that would not intuitively swing to Clinton but had a deep blue on the swing map.

Yeah, those are two highly convex precincts which sometimes messes with the calculation as it's based on centroids. Those two should be fixed now.

[RI]

Any states in particular you'd like to see cartograms of?

[RI]

California:


Kansas:


Pennsylvania:

[RI]

Maryland:


Massachusetts:


Missouri:


Oregon:


Washington:

[RI]

Utah:

[RI]

New Jersey:


North Carolina:

[RI]

Florida:


Georgia:


Illinois:


Indiana:


New York:


Texas:


Virginia:

[RI]

DDHQ is having trouble paying for hosting now that we're past special election season.

[RI]

West Virgina (some counties didn't give precinct breakdowns):

I was just looking through this thread and noticed the red spots in what I believe is the northeastern corner of McDowell County (in southern WV). Any idea why that area voted for Clinton?

The town of Keystone is about 65% black.