Which Florida counties flip?

[iceman]

At this point I think Hillsborough, Pinellas, Seminole, Duval and Miami-Dade flip.

There’s maybe an outside chance that Palm Beach would flip?

[iceman]

At this point I think Hillsborough, Pinellas, Seminole, Duval and Miami-Dade flip.

There’s maybe an outside chance that Palm Beach would flip?

That sounds like a reasonable prediction. I'm assuming that based on your prediction of Miami-Dade flipping, Florida is double-digit Trump?

Seeing the registration is almost 1 million GOP advantage which can only grow come election day, I’d say Trump would win in a Rubio-esque like margin here. So I’m quite sure Miami-Dade will flip.

[iceman]

I can see Miami Dade flipping but who are the voters that would even make that happen? Aren't Republicans maxed out with Cubans there or do they still have room to go with them and Puerto Ricans etc??

I think it's more likely Biden narrowly wins Miami-Dade than Trump does. There would probably need to be some sort of huge turnout differential between post-pandemic transplants and "locals", as well as post-2010 non-Cuban Latin American immigrants being anomalously R like post-2010 Cuban immigrants are.

No way Biden wins Miami-Dade. If you’ve ever been to that place recently, you could easily tell that it’s not Biden’s turf.