Make a Bold Prediction for the 2012 election

[paul718]

I'm going to say Obama loses to Mitt Romney in an extremely close election as inflation concerns and a still soft economy are the focus of the average American voter. That and the usual GOP fear mongering with terrorism may work a little again.

I don't see how Mitt could benefit from any "fear mongering", as he has zero foreign policy experience and his campaign would likely avoid focusing on it (especially when running against the sitting CiC).   

[paul718]

Neither did Bush and he won 2004 based off it.. Its the Republican branding

He was the incumbent President.  He had overseen the response to 9/11, the invasion of two countries, and the enrolling of the Patriot Act.  You don't count that as national security / foreign policy experience?

[paul718]

And how much did Bush have before he became president?

He didn't win on national security in 2000.

[paul718]

And how much did Bush have before he became president?

He didn't win on national security in 2000.

As a matter of fact, correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't Bush win because of his foreign policy stance when he campaigned? You know, no nation building and the sort?

I think that was part of his campaign, but I don't recall it being an overarching theme like in 2004.  Also, I don't think he tied his "no nation-building" stance to national security, as national security wasn't really on anyone's minds at the time.  I could be wrong though.