Cook Political rating changes: Florida to Tossup, Nevada to Lean D

[ProgressiveModerate]

I see the case for a lean D NV but their reasoning here is really dumb. I think NV will likely trend slightly to the right for several reasons (Biden polling better with higher income compared to Trump polling better with lower income voters relative to past cycles, the fact that Trump is doing better with those with lower education levels, ect).

[ProgressiveModerate]

Reflecting on this overnight, isn't it kind of ridiculous to say mass unemployment and an economic and health crisis raging through a state would hurt the challenger? Doesn't this hurt the incumbent? I see the case for Lean D NV, but this isn't it, and it just seems like they desperately want a horserace narrative.