Underrated Biden advantage; Republican brain drain? (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Underrated Biden advantage; Republican brain drain? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Underrated Biden advantage; Republican brain drain?  (Read 735 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« on: May 07, 2024, 12:35:39 AM »

Mentioned this briefly in another thread but thought it deserved its own thread

The increasing educational polarization in our politics is well known with Dems gaining with college voters and Republicans with non-college voters. Generally, the most educated dislike Trump and are leaving the GOP en-masse. On the flip side most political conspiracy theorists have found a home in the GOP, including conspiracies that used to be more associated with left-wing politics like vaccine skepticism.

This at least theoretically means Biden and Dem campaign strategists have a larger high quality pool of people to choose from to help run the campaign when it comes to things like messaging, electoral strategy, ect.

Additionally, Trump’s ego means even if the RNC has smart people they’re more likely to be ignored so Trump can spend in Virginia or somewhere silly.

It also just means Republicans are going to be more prone to situations like the whole speakership fiasco and deal with the Boeberts and Gaetz of the world.

Can this dynamic actually make enough of an impact on the election?

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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2024, 12:59:41 AM »

It's a decent argument but wouldn't Dems have always had this advantage? Obama had big support among college educated voters, Gore/Kerry had an "intellectual" base against "low IQ" Republicans, and I doubt anyone ever wanted to work for Dole's DOA campaign. I think this is one of those things that's less of an advantage but more of a small detail that is baked in the cake already.

Yeah this is a fair point, but I wonder if it’s gotten worse. This isn’t quite analogous but in the past few years a lot of Republican rising stars with seemingly bright futures have basically left politics because they don’t like putting up with it (I.e. Gallagher, Paul Ryan, ect).

I could see a similar thing going on in the machine where many of the GOPs historically best strategists, researchers, and campaign managers just no longer want to put up with Trump all the time and have left.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 11:05:09 AM »

Educated and even intelligent people are by no means better at campaigning.

Not inherently, but when it comes to things like where and how to spend money, you'd much rather have intelligent people directing things.
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