Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins? (user search)
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  Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these two Senate seats is more likely to flip the next time it is up?
#1
Sherrod Brown’s seat
 
#2
Susan Collins’ seat
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Which seat is more likely to flip the next time it is up? Brown or Collins?  (Read 858 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: February 12, 2021, 04:46:14 PM »

Brown, and it really doesn’t even depend that much on whether Collins runs again or not.

You really think Brown is DoA, the only R left that is popular is Maverick DeWine, not statewide Rs that's why Renacci and Mandel lost to him


You really can't be serious, right now.... Sherrod Brown is the only elected Democrat left in Ohio and he was very lucky he ran in 2018, a year powered by a massive anti-Trump wave and faced a weak opponent in Renacci, compared to running in 2016 or 2020. Frankly, unless 2024 is at least a modest Democratic win (say a D+5 or so PV), I have a tough time seeing Brown winning. The state of Ohio is zooming to the right (it voted 10 points right of the nation in 2016, and 12 points right of the nation in 2020), so it seems on track to vote 14 points to the right of the nation, so even then in the case of a D+5 environment, I find it hard to see Brown outrunning the top of the ticket by 9 points, my guess is he can outrun by at most 7 or so points, and will outrun the ticket by more like anywhere from 3 to 5 points. Unless Ohio's rightward trend suddenly stops or reverses, Brown is in big, big trouble.

Imagine making an effort post response to Olawakandi.
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