I live in one of Clinton's '08 primary states. If she wins, it will be because of the blue collar vote and minority voters.
However, most people I talk to, especially white voters, think that:
1. The establishment is corrupt
2. We don't need another Clinton (or Bush) in the White House
3. Trump "tells it like it is"
So it could be a tossup depending on if Clinton can redeem herself in this political atmosphere. As usual, Ohio is a bellwether for the election in general.
while i think most people here are underestimating trump, anecdotal evidence has never been worth anything.
anyways, clinton would probably win high 80s at least in germany
