The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Rubio's only 40 years old.  Probably the other guy from florida.

Who? Jeb Bush? Allen West? Rick Scott?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Palin back up to third place.  In fact, she's in third place in both the presidential and vice presidential markets.

Up: Romney, Palin
Down: Perry, Huntsman, Ryan, Bachmann

GOP pres. nominee

Perry 35.4
Romney 30.6
Palin 6.1
Huntsman 5.8
Ryan 5.0
Bachmann 4.7
Paul 3.5
Giuliani 2.5
Christie 2.0
Gingrich 1.1
Cain 0.6
Johnson 0.4
Pataki 0.4

GOP VP nominee

Rubio 36.0
McDonnell 9.0
Palin 6.0
Thune 5.9
Bachmann 5.0
Romney 4.9
Christie 4.5
Huntsman 4.5
Huckabee 4.0

Dem. pres. nominee

Obama 90.0
Clinton 8.0
Biden 1.7

Dem. VP nominee

Biden 87.5
Clinton 7.0

Wait... People think Palin has a 6.0% chance of running but a 6.1% chance of winning the nomination?
In other words, if she runs, she has a 102% chance of winning the nomination?
WTF?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Wait... People think Palin has a 6.0% chance of running but a 6.1% chance of winning the nomination?
In other words, if she runs, she has a 102% chance of winning the nomination?
WTF?

No, people think there's a 6.1% chance of winning the nomination and a 6.0% chance of being picked as VP by the actual nominee.

Oh. I must have mixed it up with the post before, where the second bit was if people would run.