zorkpolitics
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,188
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« on: September 22, 2011, 08:01:40 PM » |
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At this point I think he wins a close election. If he uses his $billion dollars to can paint the GOP nominee as scary or crazy he wins, if the election comes down to a referendum on his Presidency he loses.
At this point I see about a 7-8% swing to the GOP which would favor the GOP winning the Popular vote but Obama still winning in the Electoral College. In 2012 Obama won the popular vote by 7.5% but it would have taken a 9.5% swing for him to have lost the Electoral College.
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