May Primaries Coverage Thread (user search)
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  May Primaries Coverage Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: May Primaries Coverage Thread  (Read 3093 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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Posts: 2,478
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« on: May 14, 2024, 09:39:55 PM »

Biden's gonna break 70% in WV?

The Demosaur is extinct, I guess.
Dems still had a registration advantage in 2020.. its now +10 R.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2024, 05:46:58 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2024, 05:53:58 PM by AncestralDemocrat. »

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.
For the 100th time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2024, 05:50:30 PM »

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.
For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.
Nikki Haley has near universal name ID and when she was in the race, majorly fundraised.. incumbents usually don't face such opposition.

In every open primary for decades, there's been some degree of "dead vote" for withdrawn candidates.. its just electoral precedent.  

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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 21, 2024, 06:00:02 PM »

Kentucky in 2020:
Biden 68% - Uncommitted 11% - Other candidates 21%
Trump 87% - Uncommitted 13%

Surprised at the non-Trump vote in 2020; wonder if we'll see something similar tonight.
For the 100t time, it's disingenuous to compare a cycle where Trump was the incumbent and Biden wasn't to the current cycle.  

I'm sure you'll insist on doing so.

Trump is a known commodity with zero actual opposition. He is the de facto incumbent for the GOP. There's absolutely reason to compare them.
Nikki Haley has near universal name ID and when she was in the race, majorly fundraised.. incumbents usually don't face such opposition.

In every open primary for decades, there's been some degree of "dead vote" for withdrawn candidates.. its just electoral precedent.  



Nikki Haley dropped out nearly 3 months ago. She is a protest vote at this point, pure and simple. Same as Phillips or Williamson. Doesn't matter if she was "officially" in the race and fundraised at this point in the game.
It matters that there's a well known name on the ballot for the traditional open primary "dead vote" to go to.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2024, 06:08:01 PM »

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.
I'd have you know that there is a strong Hamas supporting contingent in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.


lol.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2024, 06:25:46 PM »

Inb4 some galaxy brains say that Uncommitted's performance shows that Kentuckians are displeased with Biden's Palestine policies.
I'd have you know that there is a strong Hamas supporting contingent in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.


lol.

Yep, I am sure that is the reason they are voting uncommitted!
I know, as I told you.

There isn't a house in Elliott County that doesn't have a portrait of Ismail Haniyeh on their wall.
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AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
United States


« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2024, 07:22:22 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2024, 08:02:45 PM by AncestralDemocrat. »

Voted uncommitted today in Kentucky. I’m curious to see if Biden will lose any counties to it. It certainly won’t be to the extent of 2012, but I won’t be surprised a few in coal country defect (obviously not because of Gaza, or anything similar).
Uncommitted has won Breathitt, Union, Robertson, Wolfe, Knott and Floyd so far.

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