Congressional superlatives from this year

[Squidward500]

The dynamics of CA-21 are crazy. It voted for Clinton by 16 points but Valadao won by 13. I know he lost in 2018, but he came back again this year while overperforming Trump by a massive amount. Does the Hispanic surname carry that much weight? Or is always that GOP downballot?

Valadao is actually Portuguese, but I guess his name sounds vaguely Latino and I think there is a pretty sizable Portuguese community in the Central Valley. He also managed to build up a strong personal brand, being a dairy farmer in a district where that's a big industry. Cox is also a prime example of driftwood. He got swept in thanks to a wave, turned out to have a lot of issues, and got booted two years later in a less favorable environment for his party.

Oh yeah the ao combination is usually Portuguese. Interesting, my understanding was that Cox was a strong candidate for having won in 2018 but I guess it's more that it was just less of an overperformance from Valadao.

Portuguese is kinda in a weird place where nobody knows if they’re Latino or white. Or white Latino. I know the Republican Latino conference sits Portuguese reps and sens such as Nunes and Toomey (yeah he’s Portuguese). But classification is hard since there’s so many that could go either way such as Portuguese, Spanish, Brazilian, (I guess Belizean too but how many of them are there)

[Squidward500]

The dynamics of CA-21 are crazy. It voted for Clinton by 16 points but Valadao won by 13. I know he lost in 2018, but he came back again this year while overperforming Trump by a massive amount. Does the Hispanic surname carry that much weight? Or is always that GOP downballot?

Valadao is actually Portuguese, but I guess his name sounds vaguely Latino and I think there is a pretty sizable Portuguese community in the Central Valley. He also managed to build up a strong personal brand, being a dairy farmer in a district where that's a big industry. Cox is also a prime example of driftwood. He got swept in thanks to a wave, turned out to have a lot of issues, and got booted two years later in a less favorable environment for his party.

Oh yeah the ao combination is usually Portuguese. Interesting, my understanding was that Cox was a strong candidate for having won in 2018 but I guess it's more that it was just less of an overperformance from Valadao.

Portuguese is kinda in a weird place where nobody knows if they’re Latino or white. Or white Latino. I know the Republican Latino conference sits Portuguese reps and sens such as Nunes and Toomey (yeah he’s Portuguese). But classification is hard since there’s so many that could go either way such as Portuguese, Spanish, Brazilian, (I guess Belizean too but how many of them are there). But yes Valadao is a Portuguese name. He just excludes the ã.

But from my PVI calcs, the most Republican leaning seat held by a Dem is ME-2 (R+6). The most Dem leaning seat held by a Republican is CA-21 (D+5).

The biggest PVI shift was GA6 and 7, each moving 9 points left.
The biggest shift right so far was OH6 moving 8 points right.

The most D seat I’ve calculated is PA3 (D+41), the most R are TX13 and KY5 (R+33)

The biggest difference between neighboring districts is MD8 and PA13 (D+22 vs. R+25)

The most rural D district is ME2. The most urban R district is NY11

The most polarized 2 district state is Maine (D+8/R+6). The least is Hawaii (both D+14)

All but 1 defeated Democrat was a 2018 wave baby. The one? Collin Peterson (1990)

No incumbent R lost. (First time since 1994)