SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Huckabee now first, Romney and Thompson tied for second (user search)
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  SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Huckabee now first, Romney and Thompson tied for second (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Huckabee now first, Romney and Thompson tied for second  (Read 1758 times)
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


« on: December 07, 2007, 10:23:33 AM »

Rudy has lost that much recently in SC? Huckabee is screwing up everything. For the first time, I am worried for Rudy. I just dont think Huckabee will win the general against Clinton or Obama. He wont carry the moderate votes.

That makes you wonder . . . would Huckabee ever pick Rudy to be his VP?

Probably not...too many skeletons in the closet, plus Rudy probably wouldn't accept (he'd probably prefer making money in the private sector)

Who would Huckabee pick?  The ideal candidate would be a solid fiscal conservative with foreign policy credentials who isn't from the South or the Bush Administration.  However, it doesn't seem like any of those exist, so here's a possible list:

Mark Sanford:  good reputation as a fiscal conservative, though he's also a Southern Governor
Romney:  He's not going to appeal to many and has his own problems--only a consideration if Romney & Huck duke it out past Super Tuesday.
Pawlenty: a moderate from Minnesota
Bill Owens: maybe?

All of the above are governors, who are pretty rare choices for VP (that said, Senators aren't too common either, with only Bob Dole & Dan Quayle being VP picks in recent memory).

It's hard to think of a good Senator pick--Dick Lugar would be ideal, if he weren't 75.  John McCain, John Warner, & John Danforth would be great picks (especially Danforth), but they're all too old (and Danforth probably would refuse the job).

Kit Bond & Judd Gregg are both solid if uninspiring Senators.
Kay Bailey Hutchison would be an unimpeachable female candidate (might be useful against Hillary), and would be seen as something of a moderate.

As for Representatives...Mike Pence is thought of highly by some, though I've never seen the appeal.
J.C. Watts...would be seen as simply pandering to race, especially if Obama's the nominee.
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Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2007, 01:21:10 PM »

As for the Senators line, I meant amongst Republicans, where there is a long and storied tradition of picking people who are neither Governors nor Senators:  Dick Cheney, Jack Kemp, George Bush, Bill Miller.

Democrats don't do that nearly as often, picking Senators pretty much exclusively.  Excepting the horrid pick of Geraldine Ferraro, the Democrats haven't picked a non-Senator since Henry Wallace in 1940.


As for Huckabee's pick, it really depends on who he thinks he needs to reach out to.  If he needs to appease the Republican fiscal-conservative base, a Jack Kemp-like pick might work (Sanford being a possible option).  If he needs to reach out to moderates on social issues, he might pick someone like Hutchison.  If he needs foreign policy credentials, then it's a bit tough.  He doesn't want to look like he's picking a second Dick Cheney, and picking one of the septuagenarian Senators runs its own risks (questions of age and health, plus worries about the Lloyd Bentsen effect).
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