Which factors contributed the most to trends in the CA recall?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Some of my own notes:

• I’m fairly bullish when it comes to the shift of Hispanics towards the GOP, but even I wouldn’t call said trends a “re-alignment” so far, particularly in California.

• I fully believe a Hispanic re-alignment is occurring in Texas and much of Florida, but places like California and Arizona are a little less obvious.

• Even in California it certainly appears that they are trending to the right, but that isn’t really a full on re-alignment yet.

• Ditto for the suburban/college educated trends, which is a shift, but not a full on re-alignment YET- which Trump accelerated but certainly didn’t start at all, believe or not (Your suburbs have been shifting to the left since 2004, minus the dead cat’s bounce of 2012).

• What genuinely shocked me is the level of white support for Newsom, specifically college educated white support.

• He won that demographic (college whites) 70-30, which is mainly what contributed to the margins we saw.

• I expected whites statewide overall to favor recalling Newsom by single digit margins but no, they voted to keep him overall, and they didn’t even vote drastically to the right of non whites either.

So overall, I believe that educational polarization, the Latino re-alignment/right shift, and conservatives leaving the state contributed to the results, but again, it would be more appropriate to judge this once the election results are final.

Lol. THG thinks this result was caused by Republicans leaving the state. If anything, the flips of three congressional seats should prove otherwise.