Election forecasts and reality

[justfollowingtheelections]

2016 election triggered lots of predictions and forecasts made by scientists, politicians, and various sorcerers.
Allan Lichtman basing on 13 keys system predicted  Trump's victory http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/09/23/election_forecasting_guru_allan_lichtman_predicts_donald_trump_will_win_2016_election.html ;
The most famous European sorcerer, Kaede Uber blundered prophesying Clinton's victory http://www.todaynews24h.com/human-communications-of-the-prophetess-vanga-guess-hillary-clinton-wins-the-u-s-presidential-election/ ;
Kazah clairvoyant Lion foretold Trump win https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20d1xPjMH7c .
Atlas forumers never hesitated to make their own predictions. I searched archives to find 4 discussions devoted to predictions of election results/
- Trump vs Clinton, May 4 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=236086.msg5055211#msg5055211 .
- How far will Trump drop? October 8 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=247764.50 .
- Is Trump finished?  October 07 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=247698.0 .
- Who will win the election and why? October 06, 2016 https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=247529.0 .
The overwhelming majority of Atlas forumers predicted Clinton victory.
Now we know that Trump won with 35% margin getting 304 electoral votes vs. Clinton's 227.

To summarize, the best forecast was made by egalitt who on May 4 predicted Trump's victory with double digit margin, and on October 8 wrote: "Trump will not drop. He will rise after defeating Clinton in the second debate. Clinton will trail by 30% on November 8."

The worst result was shown by skoods, who on October 6 stated that "Clinton will win with around 355 electoral votes" thus making a 67.76 + 35= 102.76% error.

Interestingly, egalitt was banned from the forum right after making his prediction.

No offense but are you seriously comparing Allan Lightman to sorcerers and clairvoyants?