Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support? (user search)
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  Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Do First Exit Polls Normally Overstate Sanders Support?  (Read 1471 times)
Holmes
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Posts: 13,787
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: April 26, 2016, 03:22:33 PM »

I can't think of much that haven't. One that I seem to recall is Michigan that had him +3, and he won by a little less than 2.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,787
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2016, 03:30:13 PM »

Exit polls generally overstate youth turnout (not just this year, but in general), so Sanders has done better in early exit polls in many, though not all (IA, NV, OK off the top of my head), states.

To be fair, caucus entrance polls are sh**t.
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