CA-UCB: Newsom still leads in the jungle

[Holmes]

Another DvD general in California would probably kill Republicans here for good. And in a year where Democrats are looking to gain 6 or so House seats in the state, it would be bad for turnout among Republicans.

[Holmes]

How did Villaraigosa improve and Cox fall so far?

There's really no campaign going on right now so there might not really be a specific reason, other than the Republican brand being further tarnished in the state due to what's going on in DC and name recognition.

[Holmes]

So who wins in a Newsom/Villaraigosa matchup? It'd be interesting to see the racial divides.

Newsom would be favored. He'll be the pseudo-incumbent as outgoing Lt. Governor, gets the Democratic Party's support and has less skeletons in the closet (though he clearly does have some). It would probably be a Harris vs. Sanchez redux but probably a bit closer.