hcallega
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,523
Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90
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« on: March 28, 2014, 03:20:10 PM » |
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I wrote a timeline dealing with this scenario on AH.com. Basically, I think that Gore wouldn't have gotten as big a popularity boost as Bush post-9/11 for several reasons: 1) Bush wasn't blamed for the intelligence failures that allowed 9/11 to occur because he wasn't on the job very long. Gore was a part of Clinton's team, and wouldn't have received the same honeymoon. 2) Bush's personality was well suited to responding to an event like 9/11. Gore was viewed as more studious, patient, and reserved, traits which would not have had the same positive effect as Bush's. 3) In a somewhat unrelated note, assuming Gore does not invade Iraq, the neoconservatives along with many other members of the GOP will attack him for failing to pursue the War on Terror vigorously enough.
Taken together, along with Democratic fatigue and low turnout among liberals (due to Gore's ideology and a lack of fear of a McCain presidency), I see McCain narrowly defeating Gore. Then again, the election could very easily swing the other way with Gore winning narrowly.
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