Anglesey (Ynys Mon) Assembly By-Election 2013

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Interesting because I imagine Labour's in with a shout of making a gain, giving them their first majority in the assembly.

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Rhun ap Iowerth (who has been in charge of BBC Wales's election maps since 2003) has announced that he has resigned from the BBC to contest the Plaid nomination for Ynys Mon



http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-23021568

...Jeremy Vine for PM then?

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This is today. Any predictions?

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Polls have just closed.

All parties predicting a Plaid hold. (Boring.)

http://www.itv.com/news/wales/update/2013-08-01/plaid-cymru-expected-to-hold-ynys-mon/

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Reports on twitter say easy Plaid win and UKIP a strong 3rd.

Wouldn't have thought UKIP would do that well.

So, Labour second?

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42.5% turnout. Impressive, given that it's an assembly by-election that's barely been covered.

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42% is not at all impressive for Anglesey, something that reflects the low profile of the election. UKIP polled well in some divisions earlier this year and the Tory candidate is not exactly strong (remember they came second in 2003 and 2011 - and an ex-Tory came second in 2007 - and, obviously, held the Westminster seat 1979-87. Not all of these voters will have stayed at home) so a strong showing for them makes a lot of sense.

A strong showing by them is one thing.  But if they beat Labour in a seat they hold at westminster, that is surely a disaster. No excuses.

As has been said, Ynys Mon isn't a seat you'd look to for a picture of how the nation's leaning, but a 3rd place finish would be terrible. Nowhere near Bradford West terrible, but still terrible.

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Lowest Liberal result in Mon history.

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If anything, parachuting in people from the telly doesn't look good for the party.

Yeah, the guy was a local, that's the difference.