FL-25/Susquehanna: Dead heat

[Landslide Lyndon]

Republicans in Florida are outnumbering Dems in early/absentee voting by 250,000. Normally the democrats do well with early voting, this isn't good for any democrat in FL.

I thought the opposite was true.
I remember back in 2008 everybody was saying how surprised they were by the fact that Democrats did better in early voting than Republicans.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Strange that the overall wave will be bigger than 2006 yet the party caught in the wave will actually be able to pick up a few seats this time around (not saying we'll win this one specifically but we'll pick up a few).

Thought the flip side to that is that the Democrat's won't have any easy targets for 2012.  If they pickup IL-10, DE-AL, HI-1, and LA-2, I can't think of any races that would be an easy D pickup for 2012.

There are plenty of seats they will/might lose this year that will be obvious targets, e.g. PA-11, NJ-03, FL-08, FL-22, CA-11, OH-01, etc., etc.

Plus we don't know how most districts will look like after redistricting.