lol at this delusional strawmanning. Still no argument as to why the f- a Kerry 2004 state would go GOP in 2016 for no damn reason other than it makes it convenient to imagine a scenario where Hillary loses.
A 2016 recession is a small but real possibility, of course. I agree that the GOP is heavily the underdog in New Hampshire and any other Kerry '04 state, but there are a lot of unknowns that will come into play before the election.
My personal opinion is that Hillary will get 1 term and due to a 2019 recession, will get booted by a moderate GOPer.
That's were things start getting tricky.