"The Snyder leads are absurd" my ass.
The lead is weak. Because the 2014 midterm in Michigan will have everything but a hot Presidential race, it should have a high participation rate which would work badly for Republicans. The Republican-dominated State Legislature is extremely unpopular. The unions will be out for
bear elephant in an election that they believe that they must win.
An incumbent governor at 44% against a candidate no one's heard of is hardly anything to celebrate...
Most telling, his approval rate is at 42%. Medicaid roll-out? President Obama will get the credit more than will Governor Snyder.
Rick Snyder has yet to show that he can win except against a weak opponent in an R wave election. Nate Silver has shown that incumbents have about a 50% chance of winning re-election when their approval rating is about 44% because they usually show why they got elected. Below 44% they usually show that electing them the last time was a mistake.
