Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better. (user search)
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  Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-National: Clinton leads all GOPers, but Biden is doing better.  (Read 1590 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,895
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« on: August 27, 2015, 08:43:28 AM »

Believable -- if the matter of the 'private server' has been shown to be either insignificant, innocent, or "no-harm, no-foul".

That was all that the Republicans had on Hillary Clinton. It's hard to see that subject imploding so fast -- but just look at the PPP poll of Mew Hampshire and contrast that to the fairly-recent PPP poll of Minnesota. Minnesota is much more D than New Hampshire.

Q just showed a national poll in which Hillary Clinton is doing far better than she did recently in such swing states as Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.  

I think that we are going to see the map of electoral projections going much more Atlas Red than it has been recently. Projections of Ohio and Pennsylvania going for any Republican nominee for President or Minnesota shaky
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,895
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2015, 09:25:52 AM »

http://cookpolitical.com/story/8608
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2012/11/08/president-obama-and-the-white-vote-no-problem/

So I noticed that it is widely assumed that the 2016 electorate will be 70% white, 2% lower than 2012, yet Quinnipiac is assuming 74% white for this poll. Also, Hispanics are assumed to be 7%, lower than they were in 2012?? I can understand perhaps Black enthusiasm may dip, but with Trump, and Hillary fighting for citizenship, I think the Latino vote continues to make a bigger part of the pie. Yet despite all of that, she leads them all Smiley

Such demographics would suggest something closer to a "primaries-voters" or "2010/2014" model of questionable applicability to 2016. Democrats typically rely upon turning out not-so-likely voters out at the voting place, while Republicans seek to dampen the desires of non-Republicans as voters.

With what Trump and Bush have said about Asians and Latinos, I can expect those two minorities not only to go out and vote, but also participate in canvassing for votes. Door-to-door canvassing works in campaigns. 
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