Labour Party leadership election 2015

[Phony Moderate]

Miliband was/is firmly centre-left on the spectrum of British politics.

[Phony Moderate]

What percentage of the eventual total vote will have already been cast? Most postal votes in general elections apparently get sent back within a couple of days.

[Phony Moderate]

Watson makes his views clear.

[Phony Moderate]

Wheee!

https://archive.is/QQl5m

'Labour supporters have expressed their anger at being barred from the leadership vote, as the party steps up efforts to weed out those suspected of not being genuine supporters.
It is understood that Labour sent out a fresh batch of emails to supporters this morning informing them that their applications have been rejected and that they will not be able to vote in the leadership election.'

If Corbyn loses...

[Phony Moderate]

I've cast my vote. I did not use all of my preferences. I've also voted in the other contests.

May I ask who you voted for? It would really help me make some sense out of this, so far I still don't really know what to think.

I doubt either Corbyn or Kendall got a preference. Probably Burnham first and Cooper second.

[Phony Moderate]

Watson will either be Corbyn's best or worse ally.

I saw something tonight saying that Andy Burnham is going to be offered the Chancellorship over John McDonnell.

The right wouldn't take McDonnell (or any other SCGer) being given Shadow Chancellor well; he'd probably get Shadow Health or something like that. I imagine Hilary Benn would be kept as Shadow Foreign Secretary.

[Phony Moderate]

More trouble for Corbyn.

[Phony Moderate]

John Curtice has kind of called it for Corbyn.

[Phony Moderate]

Assuming that Corbyn's support is as strong as the polls have suggested and assuming that most of it does break for Khan, yes.

[Phony Moderate]

Gordon Brown has voted 1. Cooper, 2. Burnham, 3. Kendall

Dan Hodges has voted 1. Cooper, 2. Burnham, Watson for Deputy and Abbott (!) for London Mayor

[Phony Moderate]

Following the 'weeding out', the electorate is down to 553,954 (previously 610,753). However, most of the reduction comes from the affiliates (41,521) rather than the £3ers.

[Phony Moderate]

Oh dear, Fox News has something to say.

[Phony Moderate]

An Objectivist thinks that Corbyn is bonkers.

[Phony Moderate]

isn't it ironic that Corbyn has compromised with the (s)electorate but Kendall has refused to?

Yeah, Flint has ran the type of campaign that (from her POV) Kendall should have run.

[Phony Moderate]

Some interesting figures; 22% of Britons say they are against the Royals; that must be the highest for some time; higher even than opposition to airstrikes against ISIS. Also, surely tuition fees aren't tuition fees if paid entirely by the government? Also, lol at a large proportion of Kendall supporters who strongly hold positions that would put them in the Socialist Campaign Group if they were MPs.

[Phony Moderate]

Word (well, rumour) is that a majority has yet to cast a vote and that about a third is still undecided; this has led to some Labour insiders not being as convinced about a Corbyn victory as they were a week or so ago. Burnham's camp is putting out data suggesting that a plurality of the undecideds are leaning towards him.

[Phony Moderate]

The Corbyn-on-35% data came from Burnham's phone bank data which media sources were made aware of.

[Phony Moderate]

Did anyone see the Newsnight focus groups last night? They were basically the full versions that were in the Buzzfeed article I mentioned earlier

Didn't one of them say that Corbyn's policies are right out of the 60s? Lol, as if that decade wasn't far better to live in than the current one (for the average Brit, anyway). Most of the policies were better too.

[Phony Moderate]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HaPvHJyNWs#action=share

[Phony Moderate]

Oh dear, another intervention from the Saint: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-34100741

Tip for him: If you don't Corbyn to win, endorse him.

[Phony Moderate]

Did anyone see the Newsnight focus groups last night? They were basically the full versions that were in the Buzzfeed article I mentioned earlier

Didn't one of them say that Corbyn's policies are right out of the 60s? Lol, as if that decade wasn't far better to live in than the current one (for the average Brit, anyway). Most of the policies were better too.

1. Abortion was illegal
2. Life expectancy was about a decade shorter
3. Homosexuality was illegal

Yeah, if only we could return to the good old days, eh?

England won the World Cup, which is obviously far more important than any of those facts. Anyway, I was of course speaking in the spur of the moment, though the tide did of course begin to turn on those issues (and quite a few others) during the decade.

[Phony Moderate]

Denis Healey turns 98 today.

[Phony Moderate]

I wonder what the size of the selectorate would have been if Corbyn had failed to make the ballot.

[Phony Moderate]

Labour's strongest seats aren't in university areas, they are depressed urban areas, not all of which are full of ethnic minorities (Indeed many are the opposite, see Tyne and Wear).

Britain is not America. Britain's voting patterns are different to America. Repeat. Repeat. Repeat.

Yeah, Liverpool, I think, is whiter than the country as a whole.

[Phony Moderate]

Out of interest does anybody remember Mary Creagh?

No.

Btw, Dan Jarvis is second favourite (after Corbyn) with Ladbrokes to lead Labour in the next GE.