Pew National Poll: Clinton +4

[Phony Moderate]

It terrifies me that despite leading Hillary in the low 40s. Looks like she won't get 50% in the GE.

Remember, 3rd parties always fade a bit into the fall, but yes it's highly unlikely anyone gets a majority this year.  However, I think Clinton will easily be over 45%.

Not 'always'. Perot rebounded in the weeks prior to the 1992 vote, though that was largely thanks to the debates.