All Along The Watchtower
Progressive Realist
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Posts: 15,677
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« on: June 20, 2017, 02:46:18 PM » |
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« edited: June 20, 2017, 02:48:12 PM by PR »
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If the outcome is a win without a recount:
- 30% chance of Ossoff winning by 3 points or less
- 25% chance of Handel winning by 3 points or less,
- 15% chance of Ossoff winning by 3-5 points
- 15% chance of Handel winning by 3-5 points
- 10% chance of Ossoff winning by more than 5 points
- 5% chance of Handel winning by more than 5 points
If the outcome is a win on a recount
- 70% chance of Ossoff winning on a recount
- 30% chance of Handel winning on a recount
Chances that there will be a recount: about 50-50
^^^All of this being my humble opinion, of course.
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