Election betting thread.

[Badger]

Is there a way to turn this into a real money betting game? Totally serious.

[Badger]

$150 that no Romney state will vote for Hillary

Done!

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20 on Cruz winning IN

I'll take your money. Sure!

[Badger]

$50 that Clinton wins Indiana
$25 that Trump wins Indiana
$50 that Cruz wins Nebraska
$25 that Sanders wins West Virginia
$50 that Trump wins West Virginia
$50 that Clinton wins Kentucky
$50 that Sanders wins Oregon
$50 that Trump wins Oregon
$25 that Trump wins Washington

I'll bet you're right.

(SKIP)

[Badger]

I'll put $200 on Trump winning Oregon, AND I'll give you 5-2 odds (i.e. your $200 bet will get you $500).

I'll also take a single $100 bet (first post, first served) at even odds Trump wins IN.

[Badger]

BTW, who the hell is going to keep track of all this?

[Badger]

New rule: I will remove obvious bets.

Why not, instead, just make it so that unaccepted bets that are neutralized like in a actual bet? If I bet that Clinton will win the election and end up being wrong but there were no takers, then no one should get or lose money. If you're doing it more like a casino where the money goes to the house then you should only lose money if no one takes you up but gain nothing (except get the money back that you put in), if end up being right. As such if I bet that Clinton wins and she loses I lose my money, but if she wins all I get is the money I put into the pot.

Endorsed. Also proposed:

Any accepted bet can NOT be withdrawn from.

Any bet offered is given to be extended to the first single person to accept, unless the bettor specifically states their offer can be taken up by (e.g.) 2, 3, 4, whatever.

[Badger]

I'll offer $50 Trump doesn't carry any 2008 Obama state other than Indiana in November.

I'll bet $50 at 2-1 odds (you get $100 if you win) Trump won't carry any Obama 2012 state.

[Badger]

I'll bet $500 at 3-1 odds the Libertarian candidate doesn't hit 10% in a single state.

[Badger]

I'll bet $500 at 3-1 odds the Libertarian candidate doesn't hit 10% in a single state.

A confident bet placing the odds at 3:1 That's actually quite good. I'm tempted....

bring it.