Indiana Republican congressional primaries - May 7 (user search)
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  Indiana Republican congressional primaries - May 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Indiana Republican congressional primaries - May 7  (Read 819 times)
MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« on: May 06, 2024, 03:15:53 PM »


IN-03

This seat is based in Fort Wayne and is currently held by Jim Banks, who is running for Senate. The rep before Banks, Marlin Stutzman, is running again and probably has a good shot due to name recognition. There are a bunch of other candidates, but the only other one with a somewhat high profile seems to be State Senator Andy Zay, who definitely seems like more of an extremist.



I live in the 3rd. Didn't vote in the primary - three Democrats running, and not a one of them replied to an e-mail I sent out to their campaigns, so screw them - but am very interesting in the eight-way GOP primary results.

All I can say is that I don't want Stutzman to get his seat back. My father ran against him back in 2014 in the GOP primary, so I admit it's personal; even so, I'm hoping that someone other than Stutzman - Zay or Wendy David, perhaps - pulls it out.

Personally, I'd think that Zay or Tim Smith is most likely. Smith has the most money based on what I've seen, and I've actually heard his name from apolitical people, so apparently his name's getting out there.

On the Democratic side - three-way race between Kiley Adolph, Phil Goss, and 2016 nominee (andembarrassment) Tommy Schrader - I'd suspect that Adolph wins. Goss has a lot more money, and I've seen sponsored ads from his campaign on X/Twitter, but Adolph seems to have more of the Democratic Party support, for whatever that's worth in this area.

That said, looking forward to tomorrow night.
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MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2024, 03:19:54 PM »

IN-03

This seat is based in Fort Wayne and is currently held by Jim Banks, who is running for Senate. The rep before Banks, Marlin Stutzman, is running again and probably has a good shot due to name recognition. There are a bunch of other candidates, but the only other one with a somewhat high profile seems to be State Senator Andy Zay, who definitely seems like more of an extremist.



I live in the 3rd. Didn't vote in the primary - three Democrats running, and not a one of them replied to an e-mail I sent out to their campaigns, so screw them - but am very interesting in the eight-way GOP primary results.

All I can say is that I don't want Stutzman to get his seat back. My father ran against him back in 2014 in the GOP primary, so I admit it's personal; even so, I'm hoping that someone other than Stutzman - Zay or Wendy David, perhaps - pulls it out.

Personally, I'd think that Zay or Tim Smith is most likely. Smith has the most money based on what I've seen, and I've actually heard his name from apolitical people, so apparently his name's getting out there.

On the Democratic side - three-way race between Kiley Adolph, Phil Goss, and 2016 nominee (andembarrassment) Tommy Schrader - I'd suspect that Adolph wins. Goss has a lot more money, and I've seen sponsored ads from his campaign on X/Twitter, but Adolph seems to have more of the Democratic Party support, for whatever that's worth in this area.

That said, looking forward to tomorrow night.

The Dems got Schrader kicked off the ballot on a list of technicalities.

Didn't hear that, but as far as I'm concerned, good riddance.
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MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 06:09:17 PM »

Marlin Stutzman just took the lead over Andy Zay (who is now in fourth place) in IN-03's GOP.

Only 21.8% reporting, but it's the first time he's lead tonight from what I've seen.
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MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2024, 06:49:29 PM »

I think my worst prediction tonight was that Mike Speedy would win IN-06's GOP primary. He's consistently been in third, and with 50.5% reporting, Jefferson Shreve has 28.5%, and he's been leading all night.
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MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2024, 07:18:33 PM »

It's a shame, too, because I predicted a Goodrich victory. Still not a good showing whatsover for an incumbent if she does win this.
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MichaelM24
Rookie
**
Posts: 188
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -7.65

« Reply #5 on: May 07, 2024, 08:35:24 PM »

Looks like Stutzman has been projected as the winner. Damn shame, in my view. Still, an exciting race - surprised that Zay didn't hold on a bit better. Expected him to at least get second place, but he's down at fourth.
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