Oakvale
oakvale
Atlas Icon
Posts: 11,827
Political Matrix E: -0.77, S: -4.00
|
|
« on: April 29, 2015, 08:11:30 AM » |
|
I'm not insane so I'm not going to predict either percentages or seat totals, let alone seat-by-seat predictions, but my general thinking is that the Tories will do somewhat better than predicted currently and be the largest party, possibly by a comfortable margin, with a lead of a few points in the national vote and that the SNP will underperform their current astronomical numbers but still come away with about 40-45 seats in Scotland. Clegg, like Ed Balls, before him, hangs on by a wider than predicted margin, depriving viewers of a Portillo moment. His party do slightly better than current predictions imply.
I'm basing this on the assumption that undecided voters will vote conservatively, which in England means for Cameron and in Scotland means for Scottish Labour. I hope I'm wrong.
|