Rick's edge in 2016 compared to 2012, if he has one, is that Paul, Rubio, and Christie might actually, openly run to the left of the base on social issues in the primaries instead of waiting for the genital to make the move.
Genital election is a good name for a porno about people who choose to be gay.
Almost certainly, some candidate will emerge in the Republican primaries who opposes a path to citizenship and supports a constitutional ban on gay marriage. Hey, it may even be someone like Michele Bachmann who, in a single debate answer in 2011, supported states' rights to decide marriage laws and a constitutional amendment barring them from doing so. But the less like Bachmann i.e. blatantly implausible a president this person is, and the less appealing to conservatives the establishment favorite is, i.e. if it's Christie a than Walker or Rubio, the more traction the more conservative candidate is likely to get. That said, I think either Jindal or Cruz, both children of immigrants, could easy outflank Santorum to the right on immigration, and bump him out. While Jindal seems more likely to run than Cruz, I think people underestimate the chance Cruz runs instead or both do or someone not really on the radar takes the spot.
Who knows. Maybe the economy turns 2016 into the election the Republicans thought they'd have in 2012, and even Rick Santorum can win.
People also underestimate the likelihood a bad economy hurts the Republicans even more than the Democrats.
