Will Hillary do better or worse than Obama with white voters? (user search)
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  Will Hillary do better or worse than Obama with white voters? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Better than Obama 2008
 
#2
Same as Obama 2008 (43%)
 
#3
Worse than Obama 2008, better than Obama 2012
 
#4
Same as Obama 2012 (39%)
 
#5
Worse than Obama 2012
 
#6
Depends on who her opponent is (please elaborate)
 
#7
She won't be the nominee.
 
#8
What difference, at this point, does it make?
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 77

Author Topic: Will Hillary do better or worse than Obama with white voters?  (Read 1580 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,095
United States
« on: April 29, 2015, 05:12:06 PM »

worse....White voters now hate the Democratic Party

The Democratic Party hasn't won the white vote since 1964, and they still have sizeable support from younger whites.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,095
United States
« Reply #1 on: April 29, 2015, 06:29:24 PM »

The Democratic Party hasn't won the white vote since 1964, and they still have sizeable support from younger whites.

Although I believe I read that this support is tapering off generationally. I remember Cuccinelli won white 18-24 year olds but lost white 25-40 year olds. The general argument being that those who became adults when Bush was President vote Democrat and those who became adults under Obama vote Republican.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Cuccinelli-college-women-poll/2013/11/08/id/535605/

Hmm. If that does materialize, that would be similar to the Baby Boom divide between those aged under Nixon and those under Ford and Carter.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,095
United States
« Reply #2 on: April 29, 2015, 06:34:56 PM »

The Democratic Party hasn't won the white vote since 1964, and they still have sizeable support from younger whites.

Although I believe I read that this support is tapering off generationally. I remember Cuccinelli won white 18-24 year olds but lost white 25-40 year olds. The general argument being that those who became adults when Bush was President vote Democrat and those who became adults under Obama vote Republican.

http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/Cuccinelli-college-women-poll/2013/11/08/id/535605/

Hmm. If that does materialize, that would be similar to the Baby Boom divide between those aged under Nixon and those under Ford and Carter.

The GOP does poorly among young voters now, though I will expect that those who are just gaining voting age now will be more conservative than the older ones as the years progress.

Depends. The Boomer rightward shift depended a lot on Reagan. No such figure presently exists.
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