Who will win the GOP Nomination?

[Averroës Nix]

Romney or Perry, though it's very hard to say who. Each has an interesting mix of advantages and disadvantages, but it's really hard to see how both of them could lose.

Palin is the most likely of the rest, though she's still a long shot. (There are also those morons who aren't convinced that Chris Christie is totally uninterested - but I guess that if both Romney and Perry somehow showed that they were totally unacceptable nominees, by, for example, dieing, he might reconsider. Is there any good reason to expect that the field is unfinished, other than wildcard Palin? Giuliani and Bolton are the only other speculated candidates who haven't said no, and it'd very surprising if either announced at this point.)

I don't think Huntsman or Bachmann is quite impossible, but it's close to that. Paul is impossible, though he will continue to have an important effect on the dialogue.

Cain, Santorum, Gingrich, Johnson, Roemer, and McCotter are irrelevant.