Who will win these House races (part 2)? (user search)
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  Who will win these House races (part 2)? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who do you think will win each of these House races?
#1
FL-02: Democrat Gwen Graham		  
#2
FL-02: Republican Steve Southerland (Incumbent)		  
#3
NH-01: Democrat Carol Shea-Porter (Incumbent)		  
#4
NH-01: Republican Frank Guinta		  
#5
AR-02: Democrat Pat Hays		  
#6
AR-02: Republican French Hill		  
#7
WV-02: Democrat Nick Casey		  
#8
WV-02: Republican Alex Mooney		  
#9
WV-03: Democrat Nick Rahall (Incumbent)		  
#10
WV-03: Republican Evan Jenkins		  
#11
VA-10: Democrat John Foust		  
#12
VA-10: Republican Barbara Comstock		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 34

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Who will win these House races (part 2)?  (Read 859 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« on: August 25, 2014, 07:54:51 PM »
FL-02: Gun to my head Southerland, though Graham is one of my favorite candidates this cycle. Graham can very easily get to 47-48%, but that extra 2-3% is the killer. She's outraised Southerland, so that should help her close that gap.
NH-01: Shea-Porter just because Guinta isn't a very likeable or exciting candidate.
AR-02: Hays, because Pryor should at least carry this district.
WV-02: Casey would have easily won 6-10 years ago, but I think Mooney gets a pass on carpetbagging because of nationalization.
WV-03: 'Gonna say Rahall hangs on, as he's kicked his campaign into a higher geer and thats just kinda what my gut tells me.
VA-10: Comstock. The district is trending the right way for Democrats, but not this year.
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Miles
MilesC56
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*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2014, 09:08:48 PM »
Quote from: Badger on August 26, 2014, 06:05:43 PM
Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

Gut feeling plus it tends to be more R downballot; Allen was within a point of Kaine there and Cuccinelli carried it.
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