LA: 2014 Senatorial Open Runoff Election Result (user search)
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  LA: 2014 Senatorial Open Runoff Election Result (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA: 2014 Senatorial Open Runoff Election Result  (Read 4035 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: December 06, 2014, 11:56:57 PM »

New Election: 2014 Louisiana Senatorial Open Runoff Election Results
   
   

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #1 on: December 07, 2014, 01:56:16 AM »

^ Dunno if I'd say Bill Nelson is "hard left."
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2014, 02:35:11 AM »
« Edited: December 10, 2014, 02:37:11 AM by Miles »

Landrieu lost about 10% statewide compared to 2008, but more then 20% in many parishes in South-West of the state.

The five worst parishes that swung against her were all in the south/west:

Cameron: -62%
Vermilion: -47%
Vernon: -45%
Allen: -44%
Beauregard: -42%

Cameron is very small (less than 2,000 votes cast), but still, she won it in 2002/2008.

If Landrieu matched her 2008 margin (losing by 2) in LA-03, that would have almost cut her statewide margin in half (losing by 7 instead of 12).
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2014, 11:01:44 AM »
« Edited: December 10, 2014, 12:21:47 PM by Miles »

^ The Democratic total from November was 43.8%.

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #4 on: December 10, 2014, 11:29:16 AM »


Miles, what happened with Acadiana?? Yes, we all know it's very conservative socially, but it refused to go for Goldwater in 1964 and went for Johnson even after Civil Rights Act. And that - at the time when North Louisiana parishes from Caddo to East Carroll went 80-85% (in some cases, like Claiborne - 89%) Goldwater. Acadiana was mainly segregationist, but not so fiercely segregationist in the past... Abortions? "Gay marriage"? Guns? Environment? What???

Acadiana always had higher particpation of blacks in politics than the rest of the south. Through the late 1800's, while black partipication in south was in single-digits, it was usually at least 10-15% higher in Acadiana. The political culture of the Catholics was more tolerant of multiraciailism.

In 1964, I know that the political machines played a big part in delivering the region for Goldwater. Claiborne Parish, for example, was an infamous segrationist strongold. If you go just north to AR, you were pretty much back to LBJ landslides.

My own experiences in the region are pretty limited. I have family in Lake Charles, where I've been to a few times. Still, I've had conversations with educated people there who were still skeptical that Obama was born in America! What I've noticed generally, too, in the region, is a rise in evanlegical non-Catholic denomiations. That might be another factor which is pushing Acadiana to behave like the rest of the deep south.

Here's a pretty neat read touching on this. What might most impressive in this whole equation was that the south stayed Democratic as long as it did.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2014, 09:16:39 PM »

^ Actually, a few parishes did. St. Bernard, St. Landry, Bienville and Assumption flipped to Landrieu in December.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #6 on: December 11, 2014, 01:33:09 PM »

Thanks! Really interesting. Of course - i would like more details (but it would, probably, require a book, and in downloadable format, taking into account where i spend almost all time now), but - thanks nevertheless!

A lot of my analysis on that is anecdotal/circumstantial, so I'd like to read more on it, too.
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