Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)

[Gass3268]

I think we can pretty safely call CA for Clinton, and MT for Sanders. I want to relish my last win as a Sanders supporter, but once MT is called for him, I'll be changing my banner.

I'll be doing the same after Sanders concedes, unless he really unnecessarily drags things out.

[Gass3268]

I was 100% sure that Sanders wasn't going to concede tonight, now I'm only like 66% he isn't.

[Gass3268]

So how do the Redditors go through the mental gymnastics of supporting Trump when Bernie constantly bashes him?

It's truly baffling.

[Gass3268]

Wow, I thought they were saying USA at first, but of course, it's just "Si se puede".  Sad.

Ok Donald.

[Gass3268]

Meh. He's just ending on a high note. He'll grudgingly come around in the next week or two, and leave fights to convention speaking time, rules, platform, etc.

Maybe.....

I took it that he's going to take his fight on the issues to Philadelphia, not his candidacy.

[Gass3268]

Meh. He's just ending on a high note. He'll grudgingly come around in the next week or two, and leave fights to convention speaking time, rules, platform, etc.

Maybe.....

I took it that he's going to take his fight on the issues to Philadelphia, not his candidacy.

Don't you get it? The semantics don't matter. It's painfully obvious what the consequences of his fruitless, continued presence will be, and his supporters are not going to be able to discern between taking the campaign to the convention and taking the movement on the issues to the convention.

He is directly standing in the way of unity. In fact, he's helping tear the rifts even deeper.

This was all about the issues and a movement. Tonight's speech was totally a move towards starting to shut down the campaign for President, but not on the message. It was all about issues. Everyone on MSNBC is basically saying the same thing I am.

[Gass3268]

Yeah, Sanders is probably going to drop out sometime in the next two weeks.

I'm happy that there are some Clinton supporters here that can see that there was a shift in tone and even the message.

[Gass3268]

Question now is do I go to Sander's rally in DC or not? I love Bernie but I really really hate Berniebros and I know the people there would drive me nuts.

[Gass3268]

Question now is do I go to Sander's rally in DC or not? I love Bernie but I really really hate Berniebros and I know the people there would drive me nuts.

Only the dregs will be left.  It will be entirely an r/sandersforpresident crowd, the true believers.

Yup, that's my fear.

[Gass3268]

Heh, Santa Cruz county flipped to Sanders. My husband's hometown. Might be the only Bay Area county to go to him at this point...

Naah... less than 50% of the vote is in and remaining votes should break heavily for Bernie in the Bay.

Marin and SF will likely flip, and quite possibly Alemeda once all the votes are counted....

Both those counties are 100% in.

[Gass3268]

SD: Clinton 51, Sanders 49

Give accolades.

accolades

[Gass3268]

Sanders just passed Trump in total votes.

[Gass3268]

Loretta Sanchez just clinched the 2nd slot in CA. Harris is really outperforming though, currently cracking 40%.

Best news of the night.

[Gass3268]

Clinton finishes at 55.8% in CA.

Nah, it'll probably settle in around a 10 point margin.

So NBC is estimating there's 31% of the vote remaining, which if it splits 50-50 would be a 10 point margin, and if it splits 55-45 Bernie would be more like a 7.5% margin.

I'm guessing Glenn, San Luis Obispo, and Santa Barbara will flip to Sanders if that's the case.

[Gass3268]

Anybody have an updated map?

[Gass3268]

Anybody have an updated map?

Besides the one at California's SoS site?

Did not know that existed. Thank you!

[Gass3268]

Bernie currently has won 5 districts: 1, 2, 13, 20, 28.
Check out the demographics of CA-13:
Demographics: 20% African American, 21% Asian, 21% Hispanic, 34% White

That's Barbara Lee's district with Berkeley, right? It was a miracle Hillary ever led there.

But that's about 20% of the district, compared to the 55% that is Oakland, one of the most diverse cities in America, with a lot of blacks.

If you asked me to give you one city where Sanders would have a chance at winning the black vote, it would be Oakland.

[Gass3268]

I don't think there is enough left to flip them, but Orange and Ventura counties are getting pretty close.

Hillary officially has more votes than she got in 2008. Bernie also has more than Obama got.

But muh depressed Democratic turnout...

The results out of California in November are going to be glorious. I love it that every presidential year the Democrats gain 2-3 seats, the almost lose them in midterms, but by the next presidential year there are couple more seats ready to flip. It's beautiful to watch.

[Gass3268]

I don't think there is enough left to flip them, but Orange and Ventura counties are getting pretty close.

Hillary officially has more votes than she got in 2008. Bernie also has more than Obama got.

But muh depressed Democratic turnout...

The results out of California in November are going to be glorious. I love it that every presidential year the Democrats gain 2-3 seats, the almost lose them in midterms, but by the next presidential year there are couple more seats ready to flip. It's beautiful to watch.

If the pattern holds this year, I guess Knight and Denham fall - they were both under 50% in the jungle. Valadao is probably safe, he got 55%, and while Issa was surprisingly weak, the reality is he is very rich and can outspend his opponent - who doesn't even have a wikipedia page - by very large proportions.

Agreed, if anything it probably means that Issa should be a prime target for 2020. Similar to how everyone was kinda looking at Knight for 2016.

[Gass3268]

I see that Clinton dipped below 55% in Los Angeles County. I'll be very interested in seeing a precinct map there once all the votes are counted.

Waiting a new county by county report from NOVA Green!