The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Gass3268]

No change in the Gallup Poll today

[Gass3268]

Trump under 60% in WV is actually kinda surprising to me. Manchin could be safe if that number dips below 55%.

[Gass3268]

According to Gallup, Obama didn't hit 40% until mid August, 2011, and didn't hit 55% disapproval until late June, 2014. I was looking over the numbers, and I don't think Obama EVER had a net -15% approval rating from Gallup.

Obama never went below 40% in approval or above 55% in disapproval.

[Gass3268]

Morning Consult/Politico
Trump Approval Rating: http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/poll-trump-democrats-elizabeth-warren-235026

Approve: 45%
Disapprove: 45%

Was approve +1% last week and approve +8% two weeks ago.

[Gass3268]

Gallup:

53% Disapprove (-1)
40% Approve

[Gass3268]

If Trump is doing the worst among the rich and is pretty darn negative with white college educated voters, the GA-06 special could be interesting.

[Gass3268]

Man those numbers are brutal.

-25% with college educated white voters

[Gass3268]

The asymmetry on the "strongly" part is what could be the most important in upcoming special elections and in 2018. GOTV is easier if your side is energized.

Exactly, here's an example in Minnesota:

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Republican still won, but it was much closer than it should have been.

[Gass3268]

Virginia (Quinnipiac University poll)

Approve 38%
Disapprove 56%

[Gass3268]

Looking at this poll visually is startling:

[Gass3268]

ARG

Approve 43%
Disapprove 51%

Source

[Gass3268]

Gallup

41% Approve (-1)
53% Disapprove ( )

[Gass3268]

Virginia: Roanoke Poll 

Approve 32%
Disapprove 50%

[Gass3268]

Tennessee (MTSU)

51% Approve
32% Disapprove

[Gass3268]

CBS Poll

39% Approve
51% Disapprove

[Gass3268]

NBC/Survey Monkey:

Net Approve: 43%
Strongly Approve - 25%
Somewhat Approve - 18%

Net Disapprove: 54%
Somewhat Disapprove - 11%
Strongly Disapprove - 43%

[Gass3268]

NBC/Survey Monkey:

Net Approve: 43%
Strongly Approve - 25%
Somewhat Approve - 18%

Net Disapprove: 54%
Somewhat Disapprove - 11%
Strongly Disapprove - 43%

I posted that poll three days ago. 

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=252808.msg5537375#msg5537375

The article was published yesterday, so I thought it was new.

[Gass3268]

Monmouth:

Approve: 43%
Disapprove: 46%
https://mobile.twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/838812631788060673

Trump actually does worse in swing/close counties than he does nationwide 41/46.

[Gass3268]

Florida:
Approve: 46%
Disapprove: 44%
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/floridians-mostly-feeling-optimistic-heading-age-trump

This is from Florida Chamber Political Institute, FYI.

[Gass3268]

I wonder if the entirety of this presidency will be like this:

Trump says or does something incredibly stupid. Polls drop for a week or so. Trump recovers in the polls. Trump says or does something incredibly stupid again.

Exactly like 2016.

Until the economy goes.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac - NJ:

Approve 34%
Disapprove 59%

Source

[Gass3268]

Fox News poll of registered voters from 3/12 to 3/14:

Approve 43% (-5)
Disapprove 51% (+4)

Strongly Approve 30%
Strongly Disapprove 45%

On Issues:

Economy 47-44
Terrorism 45-48
Immigration 41-56
Health Care 35-55
Relations with Russia 35-55

Muslim Ban 43-54

[Gass3268]

Are there state polls? I liked the old Obama approval map.

Last one is on page 45

[Gass3268]

Marquette had a Wisconsin poll in the field over the weekend, will be released on Wednesday.

[Gass3268]

Gallup:

Approve: 39% (+2)
Disapprove: 55 (-3)

Yeah, seems like it was just noise after all.

Eh, the overall trajectory has still be trending towards negative.