US House Redistricting: Michigan

[RBH]

adding a few images with some concept ideas







I don't know enough about how Oakland County breaks down to tell you how Peters v. Rogers would go with that alignment.

Dingell v. Conyers wouldn't happen but it would be a pretty vicious map.

Adding Pontiac to Levin's district as a vote sink district is also vicious.

Removing the two counties won by Schauer and adding Republican friendly counties is also pretty devious. Along with the open Dem seat.

So that might wind up as a 9-5 map in a current 9-6 state.

I'm not sure if 10-4 is realistic. But crushing Peters at the expense of 4 other Dems could occur. And I doubt that Kildee could be drawn out of his district.

[RBH]

I never said I was gonna get rid of Levin. I said I was gonna turn his district into a vote sink.

And there is NO Dingell district on this map. Dingell is drawn out of Congress in this map.

And are there minorities in Oakland County that aren't in Levin or Conyers district?

[RBH]

Let me make this easier for you to understand

Ann Arbor/Lansing is an open DEM seat
Or as I said "Along with the open Dem seat."

Which for the first election will occupy Democrats on a primary when they could be trying to increase momentum for Peters or a challenger for one of the other Freshmen.

"And yes, there are a lot of blacks in the Peters district, particularly in Pontiac"

I wasn't referencing the current map when I said that "are there minorities in Oakland County that aren't in Levin or Conyers district?".. I was referencing my map, where Pontiac is in Levin's district and Bloomfield Hills is in CD8.

So, a summary
CD1 is redder (picking up the solid red Grand Traverse area, dropping the purpleish tail)
CD6 is redder (losing Schauer's house/Battle Creek, losing another county Schauer carried, picking up turf that John Dingell's challenger won)
CD8 can use work but it's Livington and presumably redder parts of Oakland County
CD9 is now the Lansing/Ann Arbor seat which Dems will win
CD10 picks up some random parts of Macomb.
CD11 could use some pruning but if McCotter keeps it in 2008, he won't lose it
CD12 becomes redder with Pontiac
CD13 picks up Hamtramck/Highland Park and is like 58-59% Black
CD14 combines parts of Dingell's seat with Conyers district and is majority black.

[RBH]

remind me to never hire the pollster who thinks Geoffrey Fieger could win a Congressional seat