So, what are your guys' rating on the Saskatoon by-election? I'm gonna say it's "likely NDP" until I see another poll showing the NDP far ahead, in which case I'll say it's a "safe NDP" race.
Well, the Saskatchewan Party defeated the New Democrats by 32 points in the 2016 election, but the last poll has them up just 16 points province-wide. Saskatoon Meewasin was an 8-point victory. So I'd assume the New Democrats are favored, but I wouldn't necessarily take it to the bank, since there is little province-wide polling and we don't know if province-wide swings are necessarily replicated in Saskatoon.