Why are commodity prices falling? (user search)
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  Why are commodity prices falling? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why are commodity prices falling?  (Read 1064 times)
rdouty
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« on: August 31, 2015, 07:39:12 AM »

Commodity prices are falling because consumer demand (in particular from Chinese firms) is falling. That's a no brainer. But why is global demand so weak?

I don't believe it's as simple as that. The only real weak part of the Chinese economy is the heavy industry sector.

Opex commodities (oil and gas) still experiencing mid single digit y/y demand growth in china -- the drop in price for these commodities definitely stems from continuous supply growth.

Capex commodities (steel, iron, coal) are experiencing the mid single digit demand declines y/y in China. This is coupled by supply growth in iron ore, copper, etc above 10 year trend.
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