Why are all you lefties denying this? You actually think Udall has nothing to fight? Seriously??
1. It's Rasmussen.
2. Gardener is from the most Republican district in the state, which is points more Republican than the state as a whole.
3. It's Rasmussen.
Rasmussen has been mostly accurate since the one guy left the company. You guys have never bashed rasmussen until now. We'll see about another poll, but immediately dismissing a poll because its not PPP is hackish.
Why does #2 even matter? With that logic you're telling me that Tammy Baldwin was at a disadvantage in 2012 because she was from the most far left district in the state.
Rasmussen is still rasmussen until we have facts to say they've changed.
Tammy Baldwin WAS at a disadvantadge, but she overcame it. And Wisconsin is a state with a D lean, and so is Colorado.
And democrats have been underpolling in Colorado for at least 6 years now (even 8, if you count 2006).
IMHO, this race leans democrat, and it's closer to the "likely democrat" category than to the "toss-up" one. That can change, though.