Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 97808 times)
Nichlemn
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« on: March 01, 2016, 07:07:45 PM »
Would Kasich winning VT potentially be good for Trump? It might encourage Kasich to stay in, splitting establishment votes, but it has to weighed against Trump losing.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 08:26:18 PM »

Not sure if joking, but I believe the GOP primary voters there are pretty heavily white, and probably even more conservative on average on immigration.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 08:31:15 PM »
Betting markets for Super Tuesday states

Rubio at 4% to win VA at the moment.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 08:38:18 PM »
PredictWise (consensus of prediction markets) have Trump at 83% to win the nomination, down from 86% at the start of the day, but still well up from ~70% a few days ago.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 08:43:39 PM »
The problem with Rubio is that even if he does relatively well in the delegate count, it'll be hard to get others to coalesce around him if doesn't actually win a state somewhere.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920
« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 10:27:27 PM »

Almost certainly a tabulation error.
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