Canadian by-elections, 2013

[Kevinstat]

1) Is/are there an updated results page(s) ready for these five by-elections? - Okay, I see that question has been answered.  

2) Also, a few pages back, but since these five by-elections had become the main elections du jour of this thread, there was some discussion of the provincial ridings that will be in effect for the next election.  Like one riding was "fools gold" for the NDP but a strong showing could help set them up for the next election when the riding will be better for them (I think that might have been SG where Giambrone is running).  Are the new provincial election districts finalized in Ontario?  Will they be the same as the new federal ridings with/without an exception for Northern Ontario like after the last redistribution?  The federal ridings finalized in Ontario, right?  There was an update on that on either this thread or (more likely) the Canadian General Discussion in the International General Discussion board, so perhaps I'll browse through the last several pages there.  But there might have been updates since then (like more provinces finalized).  And how final is final?  I think the House of Commons has to approve the maps, which is why the proposed abandonment of the "rurban" federal constituencies in Saskatchewan isn't a sure thing.  There was also a minority report that from what I've read was unprecedented, at least in SK and possibly everywhere (ie. most of the time the commissioners are eventually able to come to an agreement or the person(s) on the losing side go along with the majority out of custom or something).

3) As Ontario currently has a minority government, it might be worth knowing what the rough time is after which an election called would use the new lines.  Perhaps that date has already passed, which would mean the new lines have definitely been finalized.

Okay, that's enough for now.

[Kevinstat]

If you're just talking maps of the ridings, I wouldn't say they're that important in by-elections (unless it was like the 1986 Northern Ireland HoC by-elections; imagine if all but a couple Toronto MLAs resigned for example ).  Maps of "ward" results would be interesting and could be useful in seeing how things are shaping up.

[Kevinstat]

With the first poll out in London West, the Liberal candidate is actually in the lead (or was when I started writing this).  Not that that means anything.

[Kevinstat]

Too bad the Globe and Mail page doesn't show percentages (and only shows votes for the Liberal, PD and NDP candidates, while the elections Ontario site seems to be behind and makes you view the results in the different districts separately.

[Kevinstat]

SG will probably be called next.  I thought the NDP was narrowly in the lead a few minutes ago but then I realized I was comparing them to the Tories.  The NDPs in third now, but Hunter is almost 7% above the Torie.

[Kevinstat]

SG tightening up a bit.  35.5-30.1-29.4 Liberal-PC-NDP

[Kevinstat]

Liberal lean in Ottawa South down to 6.0%.

[Kevinstat]

Holiday only up by 3.8% in E-L with 175/244 in.

[Kevinstat]

Now that this thread is likely headed into a kind of a lull phase before the pending federal by-elections heat up, I thought I'd repost my questions from earlier this evening (besides one which was answered before I even asked it):

2) Also, a few pages back, but since these five by-elections had become the main elections du jour of this thread, there was some discussion of the provincial ridings that will be in effect for the next election.  Like one riding was "fools gold" for the NDP but a strong showing could help set them up for the next election when the riding will be better for them (I think that might have been SG where Giambrone is running).  Are the new provincial election districts finalized in Ontario?  Will they be the same as the new federal ridings with/without an exception for Northern Ontario like after the last redistribution?  The federal ridings finalized in Ontario, right?  There was an update on that on either this thread or (more likely) the Canadian General Discussion in the International General Discussion board, so perhaps I'll browse through the last several pages there.  But there might have been updates since then (like more provinces finalized).  And how final is final?  I think the House of Commons has to approve the maps, which is why the proposed abandonment of the "rurban" federal constituencies in Saskatchewan isn't a sure thing.  There was also a minority report that from what I've read was unprecedented, at least in SK and possibly everywhere (ie. most of the time the commissioners are eventually able to come to an agreement or the person(s) on the losing side go along with the majority out of custom or something).

3) As Ontario currently has a minority government, it might be worth knowing what the rough time is after which an election called would use the new lines.  Perhaps that date has already passed, which would mean the new lines have definitely been finalized.

Okay, that's enough for now.

[Kevinstat]

Thanks Hatman.  And you're right.

Toronto Centre could be interesting. Probably moreso than Bourassa. But it screams "fools gold" for the NDP. Certainly would be worth really fighting for to set up for the new more NDP-friendly riding to come (as DL pointed out).